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The Tom Wesley and John Weston Review: September 17, 2011

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On the Rising Tide: Radio Essay for September 17, 2011

A year divisible by four is usually a leap year but is always a Presidential election year. We find ourselves on the cusp of both. It won’t actually be 2012 for a few more months but you could hardly tell given all the rhetoric and the posturing. We are knee deep in the Presidential season now and we cannot pull back from the edge even if we wanted to do so. Correct me if I am wrong but no matter on what side of the political divide you may fall, I bet you cannot wait for November 2012 to come. I do not normally wish away time but this beauty contest is going to go down to the wire and not much is likely to happen in the intervening months to make much of a difference to the average American citizen when it comes to the great economic calamity we face. I believe the Presidential decision in November 2012 will be between a semi-conservative and ultra-liberal. All things considered a pretty clear choice. And given events of recent days, I learn towards the conservative side prevailing.

If you were born in the year 1923, you would be 88 years old. Imagine what you would have experienced: the Roaring 20’s and the boring 50’s; Charles Lindberg in the Spirit of St. Louis and Neil Armstrong at Tranquility Base; the Stock Crash of 1929 and the Stock Crash of 2008; the Dustbowl and the Super Bowl; fascism and feminism; defense war bonds and Gary US Bonds; Jackie Robinson and Mrs. Robinson; Rosa Parks and Rosie O’Donnell; Osama in the dog house and Obama in the White House. There are a lot of unforeseen events that changed our society. But one thing that has not been seen since 1923 is a Republican Representative in what is now the Ninth Congressional District of New York.

Bob Turner is not a household name and may never become one. He is the newest Republican to enter Congress after the Awakening of 2010. If New York hacks have their way, his district will be gerrymandered out of existence before the next election but I think it will not matter.

My children and I used to play a game on the beach we called “castling.” We would build elegant sand castles along the ocean’s edge and attempt to forestall the inevitable rise of the tide with elaborate berms of sand and water diverting channels and even the use of the occasional prone body. The tide always won. And it will continue to win. Mr. Turner’s victory is a harbinger of discontent in the land. Mr. Turner is a retired businessman not a career politician.

Is anybody listening? Special elections are a unique breed of election. They disrupt the natural order of things. Open seats elections are sought after since the power of incumbency is neutralized. Nothing is at stake for a career politician challenger since they do not have to relinquish any seat they may hold. But special elections are often “come-as-you-are” affairs since they are unplanned and provide a chance for opportunistic wannabees. They have the ability to provide a snapshot of the body politic. It does not allow for the machine to fully get into gear. Funding is off cycle. They provide a rare glimpse into “pure” politics.

If we have learned one thing from the New York ninth it is this: stand by for heavy rolls. The electorate is mad-as-hell –and-won’t-take-it-anymore. “Take what,” you say? Business as usual. No one is immune from the wrath of the electorate. The true electorate are the people who vote, by the way. They are not the people who get polled by the New York Times or CNN. They are the people who work and pay taxes and wonder how they are going to meet next month’s bills in the face of declining income, impending unemployment, diminishing savings, and all sorts of uncertainties that the Political Class in Washington have not a clue about. Employment security for incumbent Congressmen is being called into question.

If I have to handicap the election 14 months out, the edge goes to the Republicans, especially those new ones who were elected within this decade. For anyone in their 10th term or beyond, in either party, it is time to justify ones existence. A wave of new citizen legislators is upon us. A careers worth of experience in politics is no longer an asset. It is a liability. Look for “career politicians” to humanize themselves and tell you that they feel your pain.
They don’t. It is your pain. Only someone who has walked a mile in your shoes can understand that. If you have been employed by Uncle Sam in Congress for 20 years, you do not qualify.

Press on.

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On Remembrance: A Radio Essay for September 10, 2011

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The Tom Wesley and John Weston Review: August 27, 2011

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On Levers and Buttons: Radio Essay for August 20, 2011

The Dog Days of summer have come and are almost gone. It is just about time for vacations to come to an end and the reality of work to creep back into our lives. Many Americans did not take a vacation this year due to a tenuous employment situation. Out of work or underemployed, the last thing they need to be is out of sight and out of mind amidst this persistent economic decline.

Not so for our nation’s leadership, such as it is. Congress has been on recess since August 2 and is not expected to return until September 7. The President, presumably exhausted from being humbled on his armored bus tour, has headed to Martha’s Vineyard for yet another bike ride and ice cream cone. I must confess that even I took a holiday this past week but at least I produced this essay.

What our leadership is telling us is that our very real problems in earning a living, making ends meet and paying our bills are far less important than their problems in orchestrating an electoral victory in November 2012. It is about power more than progress and I, for one, am tired of waiting on government to be the savior of the economy. All I really want government to become is less of an impediment.

When it comes to regaining control of government there are only so many levers to pull and buttons to push to align spending with revenue. Let’s review some of them.

On the revenue side, taxes on personal income and on payroll account for more than 80% of what the Federal government takes in. Six levers to pull here: two large, one medium and three small. Not quite half of the rest comes from taxes on corporations and the rest from customs duties, excise fees and estate taxes. Reducing income taxes at the personal or payroll level, the large levers, assists those who are employed already and assists in increasing consumer spending to some degree. We already have a temporary payroll tax reduction in hand. On an individual basis, it is not small potatoes but it is diluted and does not stimulate job growth. The small levers of customs duties, excise fees and estate taxes provide better headlines than real leverage. I should point out that levies might be effective in leveling the playing field against unfair competition on many grounds without risking a debilitating trade war on the scale of Smoot-Hartley Tariff of 1930.

That leaves the medium sized lever of corporate taxation as the one revenue source that is directly tied to the one community that can directly create jobs: business. Large and small, businesses create jobs, not government. Furthermore, we are in a global economy and businesses large and small will source materials and labor from any corner of the world that will maximize their profit. Therefore, our corporate tax rate must be made competitive with the rest of the major economies and competitors of the world. On this point, both parties seem to agree. So let’s get on with reducing them by twice what extending unemployment benefits for a year would cost. That should reduce the corporate tax by about 25%, enough to show that the government is serious about making US business competitive across the globe and provide enough visibility to see the positive effects on employment and job retention and even job repatriation.

But here’s the rub: if you reduce the corporate tax rate, all of the special interest benefits need to go with them. Across the board reductions must be met with the termination of costly special interest perks. Characterize this shift as you will, it is fair.
Now, onward to the buttons that affect government spending. Here we have eight buttons: 4 large, 2 medium and two small. Let’s take a look at the four smaller ones that account for less than a quarter of the budget first. Interest on the debt is what it is. Today it accounts for 6% of total spending and certainly will rise as we borrow more at increasing interest rates. Other discretionary spending accounts for 12% and includes roads, tunnels, space exploration and the occasional Bridge to Nowhere, to name a few. The other 5% is split between foreign aid and education. We can make ideological arguments on both but nips and tucks but will not yield too much real reform.

The eight hundred pound gorillas are in Social Security, Medicare/Medicaid, Income Security and Entitlements and National Defense. All told, a whopping 58% of spending is contained in these four areas. For both parties, these represent the Holy Grail and third rail of politics. The only person in either party, including the President, who has taken aim at any of these, is Rep. Paul Ryan. Most have taken aim at him. But even he fell short of making recommendations on the defense budget.

I’ll take a stab at that. I am a veteran and come from a long line of veterans. My son is becoming a veteran in two weeks. I have no interest in placing our armed forces in harm’s way without proper equipment and support. But even I know there is waste and redundancy in that budget. Defense budget processes mirror those of the rest of government and are atrocious. The heavy hand of Congress is everywhere in appropriations and results in high ticket items being forced upon the Generals and Admirals for sake of political reputation more than necessity. That has to stop. There is gold in that budget.

Social Security never anticipated a life span of 80 plus years, 15 beyond retirement age. It is time to slowly, I repeat, slowly increase retirement age towards 68 years. This has tremendous positive effect on spending.

Health care spending must be capped. The Ryan Plan is a good place to start the discussion. Remember, nobody is throwing anybody under the bus. Responsible plans call for changes in Medicare for those 55 years of age and younger. If you are 56 and older, you’re grandfathered. No pun intended. Let us choose from an unfettered market of care options. I think most Americans are capable of making these choices.

Income Security and other entitlements account for the remaining 18% of the budget and are rife with opportunities. Americans are tired of supporting no-loads who are too lazy to work and are scamming the people. That is an easy choice. But there is a lot of opportunity in this budget chunk for all classes of people. This area ought to be publically debated and we don’t have enough time here to elaborate.
So, Mr. President, Speaker Boehner, and Senator Reid, here is my plan to stimulate the economy and simultaneously grab hold of our budget. It contains 6 levers and 8 buttons, not all of which are even in play. I am on vacation this week as are you all. I hope you have something equally meaningful to show for your time on holiday.

Press on.

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On Stick and Stones: Radio Essay for August 6, 2011

“Sticks and stones may break my bones but words will never hurt me.” So goes the old playground adage. What a week it has been for name calling and childish behavior. If I were to say that we have reached new heights of churlishness amongst us I would be only partly right. For it is not the behaviors of “We the People” who are to be condemned, rather, it is that of our elected Federal officials who engaged in name calling of the most self-serving and infantile type.

Before I go any further, let me speak of terrorists and terrorism. Terrorists killed a friend of mine 10 years ago this September 11th and threatened several more. My friend, Gil, died in the World Trade Center inferno caused by fanatics bent on destroying the American will through fear, intimidation and deadly force. I have personally trod the paths of innocents killed by like-minded terrorists in Pakistan at the Islamabad Marriott; in India at the Taj Mahal Hotel in Mumbai; in the subways of Tokyo and London; and in seemingly safe Navy ports-of-call in distant lands.

To those insensitive and inane politicians who dared to utter the word “terrorist” or “hostage taker” or “suicide vest wearer” in the same sentence with the term Republican or Tea Party I say this: Damn Your Eyes! How dare you disparage the memory of so many innocents around this country and around this world for purposes of political propaganda? How dare you liken any American citizen who has the best interests of their country and of their fellow citizens at heart to a terrorist? What hypocrisy. What idiocy. What insensitivity. What narcissism. No one but the Political Class could utter those words with clear conscious. Those who do so do not deserve to serve.

There are warning signs developing across this land. They are signs of despair and they are different than those we have seen in the past during times of economic distress. Our own President does not miss an opportunity to engage in class warfare, pitting the “millionaires and billionaires” who pay the lion’s share of taxes in this country already against those who pay no taxes at all. Fifty percent pay and fifty percent do not. Why not blame the wealthy for all that ails America? “Share the sacrifice,” says the President. Shortly, those that pay taxes will be outnumbered by those who do not. And the balance of sanity will shift.

If the argument is solely about redistributing a declining amount of wealth, we have not only lost the battle; we have lost the war.

I, for one, want no part of a President or a Congress who thinks that American’s best days are behind her. The President has said as much in his speech to NATO in Strasbourg in 2009, a message continually reiterated by his refusal to acknowledge American exceptionalism. Our Political Class is arguing about how to divide the diminishing spoils that lay before them but not on how to increase a worldwide standard of living precisely by exploiting the notion of our exceptionalism as a nation.

The current debate about deficits and national debt are a growing sideshow distraction to the core issue before us: growing the economy in a way that puts Americans back to work to stay. It is not another ill-fated stimulus that will magically transform an economy that is in dramatic retrenchment. It will take a commitment to restoring American economic exceptionalism.

Mr. President, please just get out of the way. And take the government bureaucracy with you, too. Your spokesman, Jay Carney, just told us that the White House does not create jobs. “I think he’s got it!” So stop pretending that your industry-betting, winner and loser policies will make a difference in the long run. There is a concise list of actions that you can enact by Executive Order and proposed legislation that would make a difference today. You can’t create a job but you can enable industry to do so. And with that comes precious Federal revenue, the oxygen that fuels the government beast. I’ll have more on that in upcoming weeks.

In the meantime, as leader of your party, please tell your people to cool their jets when it comes to incendiary rhetoric.

Sticks and stones may break my bones
But names will never hurt me.
Hateful tones and rhetorical groans
Tell me you mean to desert me.

Press on.

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The Tom Wesley and John Weston Review: June 25, 2011

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